Friday, February 02, 2007

Tranmere Rovers arrive, and Moore is certainly less.

Tomorrow afternoon, Oldham Athletic play host to Tranmere Rovers. It's a grudge match for the supporters, that's for sure. There's never been a huge amount of love between the two sets of supporters, probably stemming not least from Tranmere's proximity to Liverpool, and Oldham's proximity to Manchester.

Any needle has been raised this season, as Oldham's manager of last season, Ronnie Moore, on being sacked by Oldham, is now manager there. Moore never enamoured himself to supporters, regardless of how good or bad a job he did, and has been quite vocal since. Further, both teams are near the top of League One, separated by six points. Oldham are six points the better, and a win will take them top of the table for the first time all season.

The other Moore in Oldham's recent history, former chairman and benefactor Chris Moore, is in the news again. Having thoroughly pursuit selfish interests nearly at the expense of a football club (came in and signed lots of players on big contracts (which his money could fund) to win the praise of supporters, then when it seemed not quite so rosy, pulled out, leaving the contracts in place and a club unable to support them, a club which very nearly died in 2003-4), Mr Moore appears to be being caught up by the Serious Fraud Office for his misdemeanours at his main business interest, Torex, or iSoft as it's now called it seems. See the FT, he was on the front page this morning.

So as far as Oldham are concerned, Moore is certainly less.

So what will happen tomorrow? My forecasting model, which incidentally was not a hundred miles out when forecasting the Bristol City match the other week (6834 predicted, 6924 turned up, wish I'd have put the forecast up before the match that week instead of being in a bad mood!), expects 6954 this coming week. It will be interesting to see if this is a reasonable forecast. It's effectively the random walk forecast, and of course a moving average forecast could be constructed to say whatever one wishes to say. I'm not convinced the Oldham public will turn out in particular larger numbers, even if a win does put the team top of the pile for at least 48 hours. So I'm going with my near 7,000 forecast.

Come on Oldham!


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